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Halfway home. Thirteen D1 teams who have a CHANCE TO DANCE in Durham.

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Post  GNG on Wed Feb 01, 2012 2:33 pm

I have whittled it down to 13 teams who could get to THE FINAL FOUR.

TRINITY 8-2. Bring the intensity they brought to the BG game everynight, and nobody touches this team. CHANCE TO DANCE 86.33%

ALVIRNE 7-2.What's not to like? They won't be Cinderella this year. This season their one of the BIG DOGS. CHANCE TO DANCE. 71%

CENTRAL 6-3. My roller coaster team. I was down on them, then up. Now that Salem game. Down again. Come dance time I suspect I will be up again. CHANCE TO DANCE 67%

MERRIMACK 8-1. Would be right up with Trinity if it wasn't for the injury bug that has bitten the Tomahawks. That bug has taken some BIG bites. CHANCE TO DANCE 65.98%

NORTH 7-2. IF. Notice I capitalized it. IF all their team is together come tourny time, WATCH OUT. CHANCE TO DANCE. 65.965%

WEST 6-3. Athletes everywhere. The team nobody {even Trinity} wants to play in the 2nd round. CHANCE TO DANCE 58%

BG 5-5. Turnovers,turnovers,turnovers. They start taking better care of the ball, who knows. They love playing on the road to hostile crowds. CHANCE TO DANCE 54.99%

SALEM 7-3. Great coach who gets the most out of his players. I just don't see them winning the second game on the road. CHANCE TO DANCE 50%

PINKERTON.6-3. Tough 2nd half games await the Astros. CHANCE TO DANCE 49.5 %

SPAULDING 6-4. Those losses to Concord and Londonderry will haunt them later this season. CHANCE TO DANCE.40%

SOUTH 5-5. .500 if their lucky,not enough offense. CHANCE TO DANCE.30%

MEMORIAL 4-4.They like to shoot the trey ball. I don't see it,but this season you never say never. CHANCE TO DANCE 29%

WINNIE 5-4. I see 7 losses in the second half of their season. CHANCE TO DANCE. 12%

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Post  Tulliver on Wed Feb 01, 2012 6:33 pm

We aren't dopplegangers anymore, GNG

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Post  GNG on Thu Feb 02, 2012 9:13 am

Dave previewed every game this week. Impressive Basketball

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Post  EBlessNHSP on Thu Feb 02, 2012 10:12 am

GNG wrote: Dave previewed every game this week. Impressive Basketball

Here's the direct link: http://www.nhsportspage.com/display_full_story.php?story_id=764

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Post  Tuesday and Friday on Thu Feb 02, 2012 1:23 pm

Trinity - 98% chance. Built for the regular season and playoffs. Will most likely be playing #14, 15 or 16 seed at home in prelim and then no lower than a #6 seed at home in the quarterfinals. Think Trinity student body on these 2 home games.

Alvirne - 90% chance. Interesting dynamic this year for the Broncos. They have been slow starters the last few years. It will be interesting to see how they handle a season long momentum swing into the playoffs.

Merrimack - With Floras 85%. Without Floras 75%. The only reason I only have a 10% disparity is because of not being sold on a good majority of D1 boys teams this year. In any other year this Merrimack team without Floras would be at 50 to 60 % with better overall D1 teams.

Central - 80%. The Salem loss surprised me. Their history and reputation along with Doc favors them going to the Final Four.

Salem - 60%. The more I look at them the better they become. If they get Ruffen back watch out. This team along with Alvirne has 2 of the better "Team Toughness" quotients in D1.

North - 51%. They are starting to grow on me, but as always with North, with a lot of trepidation. The last 3rd of their schedule will make or break the Titans.

West - 40% and maybe falling quite fast in the near future. External factors might hinder the Blue Knights.

Spaulding - 33%. The only thing that gives them this much is their penchant for turning it on in March. If they finish 9th or lower then I give them a 1% chance because of their lack of road warrior mentality.

Pinkerton, BG and South - 25%. In the first month of the season either of these teams might have been over 50%, but soft schedule, turnovers and lack of scoring have come back to hurt these 3 teams in some ways.

Memorial - 100% if they hit 55% of their 3 point attempts. 51% If their 3 point attempts fall at an average rate . If their 3 point attempts fall at a below average rate 0%.

Winny - 15%. They do play hard and get the most with what they have. The surprising win over South gives them hope.










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Post  GNG on Sun Feb 05, 2012 8:50 am

Bert, I picked 6 other teams with a better chance to make it to Durham then BG. Although I root for BG{ Cool , me with my BG sunglasses} I am realistic.

See where I picked Londonderry, and Nashua.

Give it a try Bert. Who do you like, and why? Basketball Basketball Basketball

STILL WAITIN BERT

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